Labour is “very clearly” the favorite to win the subsequent basic election and is heading for a landslide majority of greater than 100, polling guru Sir John Curtice has mentioned.
Speaking on the Conservative Party convention in Birmingham Prof Curtice mentioned Sir Keir Starmer get together’s was, primarily based on present numbers, heading in the right direction for a “three-figure majority”.
If confirmed within the poll anticipated in 2024, this is able to be the biggest benefit for any political get together since a minimum of 2001, when Tony Blair scooped a majority of 167 over William Hague’s Tories, and would far outstrip Boris Johnson’s margin of 80 in 2019.
Curtice informed Conservative activists that Labour had loved a mean nine-point lead over the Tories in polls previous to the 23 September mini-Budget.
But Starmer’s get together prolonged its result in a mean of 23 factors following the poorly-received “fiscal event”, primarily based on polls carried out of Wednesday.
Sir John mentioned the general public doubted the “fairness” and the “effectiveness” of the tax-cutting mini-Budget.
“The fiscal announcement itself was not received well by the electorate,” he mentioned.
But the market turmoil added to the “very serious electoral damage” to the Tory get together’s standing over the previous week, he mentioned. Truss is now “just as unpopular” as Boris Johnson, he added.
Source: www.impartial.co.uk