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HomeNational'Lockdown will not be effective in the third wave of corona', revealed...

‘Lockdown will not be effective in the third wave of corona’, revealed in the report

On December 27, 6,780 cases were registered and after that they continued to increase. Initially, the average deaths were not increasing, but except Kerala, from January 4, the rest of the states started increasing.

Lockdown will not be effective in third wave

Corona almost daily in India (Covid-19) and its new variant Omicron (Omicron Variant) There is a rapid increase in cases. Restrictions have been increased after the third wave of corona in big states like Maharashtra, Delhi, Kerala, Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, Haryana, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Gujarat. Corona cases continue to rise in India since December 27. On December 27, 6,780 cases were registered and after that they continued to increase. Initially, the average deaths were not increasing, but except Kerala, from January 4, the rest of the states started increasing. lockdown to reduce death toll (Lockdown) remains effective. But a survey is telling that it may be necessary to do this, but it will increase the damage.

A daily increase in cases is seen on an average of 14 days as a marker for the start of a wave. Thus the second wave started outside Kerala on 12 February last year and the third wave started on 22 December. There has been an average increase in daily COVID cases every day since December 27, but the seven-day average figure of deaths does not seem to be increasing continuously. The Case Fatality Rate (CFR) was 0.64% during the delta wave last year, and is now about one-tenth (0.07%) in the Omicron wave.

According to a report in Hindustan Times, the case fatality rate (CFR) is not low just because daily infections are down. The average cases outside Kerala are already at 52% of the peak of the delta wave, while the average death is still at 3.3% of the peak of the delta wave. Both these percentages are likely to increase in the coming days, as the increase in deaths is usually seen at two-week intervals from the cases. But if the CFR is comparatively very low, it is more likely that the absolute number of deaths will also be much lower, even if the peak of the current wave coincides with the delta wave.

Governments are advising to take precautions despite the possibility of low death in the third wave. This is because hospitalization can increase economic pressure on people. According to the National Statistical Office (NSO), the bottom 60% of the population pays about 30% of the most expensive hospitalization cases (excluding childbirth) by borrowing or selling assets. The top 20% of the population does so in only 15% of cases.

The statement of Soumya Swaminathan, Chief Scientist of the World Health Organization (WHO) has come on this issue. He clearly says that lockdown is not the solution. According to him, now there is an understanding in the world about the corona infection and its different variants. Scientists know how to deal with this disease. Apart from this, people have also become aware. This is the reason why the lockdown should not be imposed.

Also read: UK: Amidst the growing threat of Omicron, the isolation period is being reduced, agreed to five days, why is it dangerous?

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